“Geo-engineering” sounds like a bland and technical term — but it is actually a Messianic movement to save the world from global warming, through dust and iron and thousands of tiny mirrors in space. It is also the last green taboo. Environmentalists instinctively do not want to discuss it. The wider public instinctively think it is mad. But recently the taboo was breached. James Lovelock — one of the founding fathers of modern environmentalism — proposed a way to slash global warming without cutting back on a single fossil fuel.
“Geo-engineers” believe that man should consciously change the planet’s environment, using technology, to counter the effects of global warming. They are like a chef who realises she has accidentally put in too much cayenne, so reaches for lashings of oregano to balance it out, only this time the recipe is the atmosphere of the planet earth.
Ken Caldeira, a geo-engineering expert at the Carnegie Institute, says: “In effect, we’re already engineering the climate by emitting so many greenhouse gasses. We just don’t want to admit it. You can argue that the only reason difference between what we’re doing today and what geo-engineering advocates are proposing is a matter of intention. And frankly, the atmosphere doesn’t care about what’s going on in our heads.”
Grand geo-engineering schemes come in two main flavours. The first tries to increase the oceans’ capacity to absorb carbon from the atmosphere. At the moment, the oceans are, along with the rainforests, the most effective natural mechanism for taking carbon out of the atmosphere. So geo-engineers ask: is there anything we can we do to supercharge them?
The simplest proposal is to sprinkle vast amounts of iron along the surface of the world’s seas. This would create the ideal conditions for a surge in the quantity of plankton, the friendly micro-organisms who “eat” carbon while they are alive. When they die, they sink to the bottom of the ocean taking the carbon with them, for centuries, to a watery grave. It has been tried in a number of small-scale experiments off the coast of the Galapagos Islands and it did indeed cause dead seas to spring to life with carbon-sucking plankton.
Enter James Lovelock, with a similar proposal. He suggests another way to spur the oceans to sink massive amounts more of carbon dioxide. His plan is to build vast vertical pipes across the world’s seas. They would pump water from the bottom of the oceans rich in nutrients, but mostly dead to the top. This rich water would be ideal for micro-organisms such as salps to breed in. They too “eat” carbon and then excrete it, where it sinks to the floor of the ocean.
The second school of geo-engineering projects tries to reflect much more of the sun’s energy back into space, so it doesn’t stay here and cook us. For example, we know that when volcanoes erupt, they release huge amounts of tiny sulphuric dust into the atmosphere that serve as a blanket and measurably cool the planet down. When Mount Tambora blew in 1815, for example, it was known as the “year without summer”.
So scientists such as the Nobel Prize-winner Paul Crutzen have suggested we may have to artificially simulate this effect, by spraying sulphur into the atmosphere: in effect, fighting pollution with pollution.
The US National Academy of Sciences has gone even further, suggesting that 55,000 small mirrors placed in the upper atmosphere would be enough to counter about half the impact of global warming.
So why have greens been reluctant to discuss these solutions? They have a very good reason. All the evidence suggests that, in reality, they cannot work but they sound just plausible enough to join denialism as another hallucinatory excuse to do nothing while the planet boils.
Look again at the geo-engineering schemes we’re discussing and you’ll see how. Plans to make the plankton and salps “eat” the carbon for us bump up against an unintended consequence. Too much organic matter sinking all at once triggers the release of methane, the most warming gas of all. What about pumping sulphur into the atmosphere? Ken Caldeira explains: “One of the problems... is that it would destroy the ozone layer, so you might solve the problem of global warming, but then we’d all die of that.”
Nor do any of these schemes deal with the other great problem caused by our greenhouse gas emissions. They are making the oceans more acidic, killing off shell and coral formation at the bottom of the food chain. So even if we somehow blunted the global warming effect, the increased carbon in the atmosphere would still kill the oceans and ruin our sources of food.
— The Independent