Where to see
the first sunrise of the
new millennium
THERE are many questions that arise in the
mind about the millennium. This article is based on a
special information leaflet issued by the Royal
Observatory Greenwich, as downloaded from the Internet.
It covers the most frequently asked questions regarding
the start of the new (Christian, Gregorian) millennium
and where to see the first sunrise. In
summary; the year 2000 will be a leap-year, the new
millennium and the new century start at zero hours UTC
(commonly known as GMT) on January 1, 2001, and on this
basis, the first sunrise of the new millennium will be at
places around the world where the sun is rising at that
moment.
Why the year 2000 is
a leap-year
Leap-years were
introduced into the calendar by Julius Caesar to ensure
that the months of the year stayed in step with the
seasons. This is necessary because the earth makes one
rotation of the sun in 365.24219 days, which is clearly
not a whole number of days. Adding one extra day every 4
years would exactly correct for a year of 365.25 days but
will over correct for a year of 365.24219 days. To make a
more exact correction the Gregorian Calendar, introduced
in 1582, stated that a century year will only be a
leap-year if it was divisible, without remainder, by 400,
which is the case for the year 2000. This approximation
corresponds to an average year length of 365.2425 days
and will amount to a discrepancy of only 1 day after 4000
years. The Gregorian Calendar was adopted in Britain in
the year 1752 when September 2, was followed by September
14.
When do the 3rd
millennium and the 21st century start?
A millennium is an
interval of 1000 years and a century is an interval of
100 years. In the Gregorian Calendar, which we use, there
is no year zero and the sequence of years near the start
runs as follows;
..., 3BC, 2BC, 1BC, 1AD,
2AD, .
Because there is no year
zero, the first year of the calendar ends at the end of
the year named 1 AD. By a similar argument 100 years will
have elapsed only at the end of the year 100 AD. Since
2000 AD is the 2,000 th year of the Christian Calendar,
two millennia will have elapsed at midnight on December
31, 2000. So the 3rd millennium and the 21st century will
begin at the same moment, namely zero hours UTC (commonly
known as GMT) on January 1, 2001.
Why the millennium
starts at zero hours at Greenwich.
The "International
Conference held at Washington for the purpose of fixing a
Prime Meridian and a Universal Day in October
1884, resolved to adopt the meridian at Greenwich as the
prime meridian for ``all the world and the
time and day at the Greenwich meridian as the universal
time and day for ``all the world. In
practice, this time, referred to now more correctly as
UTC, is identical to what is widely known as GMT and
forms the basis for our claim that the millennium will
start at zero hours Greenwich time. The same conference
stated that the ``universal day shall not interfere with
the use of local or other standard time where
desirable. Put simply this means that in
Sydney they are not going to wait until 10 next morning
before celebrating the New Year.
Where to see the
first sunrise of the new mil-lennium.
The purist view
If we accept that the
new mil-lennium only starts at zero hours UTC on
January1, 2001, then the question is simply where is the
sun rising at that instant. The answer is that it is
rising along half a great circle running from Eastern
Russia, through China out over the Bay of Bengal and down
towards the Antarctic Circle. On its way across the Bay
of Bengal, it crosses Katchall Island, an island in the
Nico-bar group of islands.
The view from
Antarctica.
At the South Pole the
sun will have risen at the previous Solstice around
September 22, 2000, and will not set until about March
22, 2001, the following Solstice. Does this make the
South Pole the first place to see the first sunrise of
the new millennium on September, 22 2000, or only the
last place to see the last sunset of the old millennium?
The US Naval Observatory
has pointed out that the sun will set and then rise in
Antarctica, at longitude 135 degrees East on the headland
between the Dibble Glacier and Victor Bay, at 15:08 UT on
January 1, 2000. However, it will only have been below
the horizon for less than half an hour that night!
The local time view.
It is common cause that
the start of the New Year is celebrated by people around
the world according to their own local times and that
most people will celebrate the start of the year 2000 not
2001. In practice the difference in times between 2000
and 2001 is negligible.
Will the sun rise at
the time stated?
The calculation of the
time of sunrise depends on using a model for the way the
earths atmosphere bends light. For example, when
the entire disk is seen to be above the horizon the real
sun is still just below the horizon. An average model of
the atmosphere is used so that the actual time of sunrise
can vary by at least 1 minute, depending on actual
conditions.
The last sunset and
the first sunrise.
Anyone who accepts that
the first sunrise of the new millennium will be seen from
Caroline Island has the possibility of flying 1500 miles
west to Samoa and seeing the last sunset of the old
millennium, 14 hours and 14 minutes later. 
|