May 29, 2001, Chandigarh, India
Read under headings Max (maximum temperature), Min (minimum temperature), R (rainfall in past 24 hours) and TR (Total rain since January 1):
Chandigarh, May 28
In the absence of adequate water resources the farming community, in these states, by and large depends on the monsoon. Even states like Punjab having a good canal network depend on the monsoon as the feeding source of most of the canals is Gobind Sagar and other reservoirs.
The IMD in its prediction bulletin has stated that “over the three homogeneous regions of India, the rainfall during the 2001 southwest monsoon season is likely to be 100 per cent of its long period average (LPA) over the northwest India, 96 per cent over the peninsula and 100 per cent over northeast India with an estimated model error of 8 per cent.
Last year the actual rainfall during the monsoon was 422 mm against the normal 503 mm. Though it falls in the normal rainfall category as per the parameters laid down by the IMD, it was down by 16 per cent. In Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, the actual rainfall last year was 447 mm against the normal 513 mm.
Districts like Hisar, Sirsa, Mohendragarh and Gurgaon had a deficient rainfall last year. It means that the rainfall was over 20 per cent less than the normal in these districts. It is a rainfed area and deficient rainfall proved to be a setback for these districts. However, this time the IMD has predicted a good spell of rain in the drought-hit areas of Rajasthan, Western and Eastern Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, Orissa, Bihar, Andhra Pradesh and Maharashtra and West Bengal. Because of the drought, the production of foodgrains fell to 196 million tonnes from 208 million tonnes last year.
The monsoon is expected to arrive in the region in the last week of June as per the indications. However, some experts feel that the cyclonic disturbances in the Arabian sea may push the monsoon early to certain states especially Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh.
When asked about the widespread rain in the region in the past 24 hours, Mr S.C. Bhan, Regional Director of the IMD here, said that it was because of a cyclonic circulation over northwest Rajasthan and the nearby areas of Pakistan. The cyclonic system from Rajasthan moved eastward yesterday and reached here and certain parts of Haryana and Uttar Pradesh early this morning. He said that more rainfall in the next 48 hours was possible as the second cyclonic system had been activated from the same region — northwest Rajasthan — early this morning.
He said today’s rain had no connection with the cyclonic disturbances in the Arabian sea near Gujarat. Reports reaching his office here said the rain was widespread. Asked about the heat wave in this region, Mr Bhan said that the temperature would usually hover around 43° C to 45° C.
New Delhi, May 28
Temperature: Past 24 hours change: Maximum temperatures fell appreciably in Haryana, fell in Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, east Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh and Uttaranchal, rose in Jammu and Kashmir and changed little in west Rajasthan.
Departures: They were appreciably below normal in Haryana and Uttar Pradesh, below normal in Punjab, east Rajasthan and Uttaranchal, appreciably above normal in Jammu and Kashmir and normal in the rest of the region. The highest temperature in the region was 43.0°C recorded at Sirsa (Haryana) and Bathinda (Punjab).
Forecast valid until the morning of May 30: Rain or thundershowers will occur at many places in Himachal Pradesh and Uttaranchal, at a few places in Haryana, Jammu and Kashmir, Punjab and west Uttar Pradesh and at isolated places in the rest of the region. Thundersqualls are likely at isolated places in Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab and west Uttar Pradesh.
Forecast for Delhi and neighbourhood valid until the morning of May 30: Generally cloudy sky with a few showers/thundershowers accompanied with squall in some areas. Maximum temperature will be around 39°C.
Farmers weather bulletin for Delhi valid until the morning of May 30: Light to moderate rain will occur at a few places.
Squalls with wind speed exceeding 65 km per hour are likely at isolated places.
Outlook for the subsequent two days: No large change.
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