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E D I T O R I A L P A G E |
![]() Sunday, April 4, 1999 |
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spotlight today's calendar |
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She
fights for peoples rule in her country |
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Jaya,
Sonia keep BJP on tenterhooks
The
struggle in Kerala |
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Delhi
grapevine THE Bhagwat issue seems to be snowballing into a major crisis. And this could prove to be fatal for the government. The Congress has thrown enough hints that the remaining part of the Budget session is going to be stormy. The Congress will not allow the Rajya Sabha to function demanding setting up of the JPC on the Bhagwat issue. Though there are two opinions on what should be the strategy. Those close to Sonia Gandhi want that the matter should be first discussed in Parliament and the party should insist on the JPC so that the BJP could be pegged on tenterhooks for a long time. On the other hand some Congressmen and other Opposition leaders are of the view that if the matter is discussed in the Lok Sabha, the government might succumb to the pressure and agree for a JPC. By agreeing on this the government can avert voting in Parliament and thus have a reprieve for six to seven months. Notwithstanding their public postures, the government might agree on the JPC and also shift George Fernandes from the Defence Ministry. But it would not succumb to her pressure on the reinstatement of Vishnu Bhagwat. In fact, this is the point which has disturbed BJPs plans. BJP sources apprehend that she might ask her MPs to go along with the Congress on this matter. She might join the Congress in toppling the government on this issue. But her behaviour and rhetoric during her Delhi visit have made Vajpayee an angry man. Her comment on a possible political earthquake has angered him the most. Still the BJP and Jayalalitha may strike a deal by shifting George and Ramamurthy. * * * * But the moot question is whether recent events have forged any mutual understanding between two reigning queens. Will the AIADMK MPs vote along the Congress on a no-confidence motion against the government. The party has its members in the Cabinet. At the time of this motion they will either abstain or will resign before this is put to vote. But will the Congress like to topple the government at this hour. A question as a natural corollary to this possibility is whether an alternative government can be formed or the country will have to go in for yet another mid-term polls. There is not much activity in the party on either of the two options. The BJP is of the opinion that if the government falls the Lok Sabha elections are inevitable. BJP leaders have already started creating an election phobia. If the elections are to be held, these could be held in June/July or around November. A survey on Andhra polls has shown bad omens for the Congress. The Congress has conducted another survey. This also suggests that while its seats might double, it could at the most reach 80-90 in a House of 294. Chandrababu Naidu does not want simultaneous elections to the Lok Sabha and the Vidhan Sabha. If the crisis in Delhi deepens, he might prefer Lok Sabha elections at least four to five months before the Assembly elections. Or he would like an alternative government. But, whether this has been discussed between Sonia and Jayalalitha, there are no indications to this effect. * * * * Till the noon of March 29, Dr Subramaniam Swamy was shaky. Till then, only Chandra Shekhar and I.K. Gujral had given their consent to be present at his tea party. There was an air of uncertainty looming large whether Sonia Gandhi. H.D. Deve Gowda, P.V. Narasimha Rao and even Jayalalitha would come. Around 1 oclock, Sonia told some of her confidants that she would go to the party. Most of the leaders got this news through the SPG net and then all of them decided that they would go. However, there was no doubt that the atmosphere at the parties hosted by Dr Swamy and Vijay Goel was very different. While at the latters party, most of the faces were sullen and formal, the atmosphere at Swamys tea party was vibrant. In Goels party, Vajpayee was there for quite sometime with Jayalalitha and even had dinner with her. But it was all formal. Though the BJP leaders could be seen happy with this party, Vajpayees foster son-in-law Ranjan Bhattacharya, Dr Murli Manohar Joshi and George Fernandes tried to further the relationship by calling on her separately also. But Jayalalitha dampened BJPs spirits by indicating on a possible political quake. Many of the Congress leaders were not in favour of Sonia going to the party. Right from Arjun Singh to P.A. Sangma, all advised her against going there. There were three arguments against her going there. One, Sonia is the leader of a national party of 100 years standing, and it would be below her dignity going to a party called to honour a regional leader. Two, Jayalalitha is facing many cases of corruption. And third, she is still a partner of the BJP coalition. Yet, she decided against it. However, when she reached there, she found that the chair ostensibly earmarked for her had already been occupied by P.V. Narasimha Rao. Swamy has embarrassed, but he managed to draw another big chair for her. The entire show here too looked for Jayalalitha. Only two Congressmen bothered to present flowers to Sonia Gandhi also. Feeling uneasy in such an atmosphere, she did not stay there for long. Still Swamys party might prove to be the epicentre of the possible political earthquake. * * * * While the BJP may be putting a brave face in the public about its relationship with Jayalalitha, it is unable to gauge the extent and range of her whims and fancies. This game of nerves has been going on ever since the BJP decided to form the government in New Delhi. Now, it seems to be at its climax and may end at its logical conclusion. But, the BJP is perturbed over the pattern that is emerging out of its relationship with the Queen of Poes Garden. It was one of the Prime Ministers Man Friday, Jaswant Singh, who was first assigned the job of reasoning with Jayamma. But after two visits to Chennai, he had vowed not to visit her any further. He did not make the reasons public, but when she opposed Vajpayee governments stand on CTBT, it was evident that her target was Jaswant Singh. The next was Pramod Mahajan. Vajpayee thought that he excelled in the art of dealing. And indeed, Mahajan succeeded in his mission. But even as he was celebrating his success, Jayamma lobbed a bomb shell accusing a minister close to the Prime Minister of taking bribes in the case relating to Bezbaruas transfer. Though she had not named anyone, Mahajan created suspicions by daring her to name him and he would take her to court. Thus, another channel was closed. Then, the Prime Minister tried his third Man Friday, George Fernandes. He succeeded in cajoling her on two occasions. And even as the government was thinking that he could have a longer stint, she stunned the party managers by demanding sacking of Fernandes or at least shifting him from Defence. While some say that it could be her style of functioning, others see a pattern in it. They say, she does not want to have a long-lasting relationship with anyone and give an impression that she could be won over by personal friendships. The Prime Minister has now fallen on his closest and most-trusted Man Friday, his foster son-in-law, Ranjan Bhattacharya to maintain a liaison with her, but sources close to the PM aver that he feels it may not be too long when even Bhattacharya is spurned by her. And with so many skeletons in Bhattacharyas cupboard being discussed in public these days, BJP wallahas are having sleepless nights. * * * * You may say she is a
workaholic. Minister of State for Welfare and Women
Empowerment Maneka Gandhi is trying to keep her
reputation intact. Today, she is the most dreaded
minister in the government vis a vis bureaucracy.
Bureaucrats in her ministry are not vying with each other
to sign on the dotted lines or to suit her whims.
Nevertheless, when they found that she would be going to
Britain and Italy on an official tour for 10 days, all of
them celebrated. But, their joy was short-lived. The
moment she landed on her destination, she started keeping
a tab on the affairs of the ministry. And since it was
the closing of the financial year, she was all the more
keen that all those who deserve grants from
her ministry must get the same before it lapses. But, she
would not let her officials land in trouble. And,
therefore, she has been giving her approvals to such
proposals through fax. |
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