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E D I T O R I A L P A G E |
![]() Wednesday, March 17, 1999 |
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YEAR OF VAJPAYEE GOVT |
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A YEAR OF VAJPAYEE GOVT IT was wily Harold Wilson of Britain who first tumbled to the truth that a week is a long time in politics. By this reckoning a year must be considered eternity, a thought that must cheer Mr Atal Behari Vajpayee and his friends on his completion of 12 months in power. This feat becomes all the more remarkable for another important reason. No government at the Centre during the decade since the end of the eighties with the solitary and conspicuous exception of that headed by Mr Narasimha Rao has ever completed 365 days in office. Despite the enormous goodwill with which he had ascended to the prime ministerial chair, Mr V.P. Singh fell in 11 months flat. His successor, Mr Chandra Shekhar, didnt last even 120 days. To be sure, Mr Narasimha Rao did stabilise his minority government for full five years. But the methods he used for this purpose are now being exposed in courts of law and the resultant stench offends the nostrils. Mr Vajpayees first government in 1996 will always be remembered as a 13-day wonder. Mr H.D. Deve Gowdas was sent packing within nine months; that of Mr Inder Kumar Gujral in seven. Against this backdrop Ataljis success in keeping together a raucously fractious coalition, rendered all the more fragile by dissensions within the Sangh Parivar, for a whole year is by itself a major achievement. But the key question is whether survival, by itself, is enough. Especially at a time when the country remains mired in a morass of multi-dimensional crisis the most painful feature of which is lack of confidence in, and credibility of, the governments ability to govern effectively and fairly. What has gone wrong is best illustrated perhaps by the fate of arguably the best thing the Vajpayee government has done so far, indeed during the first two months after taking over the countrys reins: the Shakti series of nuclear tests in May last which were inevitably followed by the Pakistani blasts at Chagai, converting South Asias covert nuclearisation into an overt one. Never mind the screams and tears of those who are totally opposed to Indian nuclear weapons while happy to live with the awesome nuclear arsenals, now made perpetual, of the five nuclear hegemons. For the sake of Indian security, Pokhran-II was not only necessary but also overdue. Otherwise the pretence of keeping alive the nuclear option without exercising it would have been reduced to total absurdity, and the country would have had to bid farewell to a minimum but credible nuclear deterrent. The Prime Minister and his close advisers were therefore right boldly to take the plunge on May 11, 1998. Sadly, however, they went about the job so clumsily as to rob the great achievement of much of its glory. The occasion called for rallying the entire nation behind the historic landmark. Instead, the Hindutva extremists and other zealots of the saffron camp were allowed to claim all the credit for themselves and embark on the most unbecoming and jingoistic flexing of the nuclear muscle. No wonder, domestic political discord at a high enough pitch already was aggravated dangerously. Even those who had played a role in developing this countrys nuclear weapons were provoked into denouncing the tests. That this amounted to putting partisan pique above national interest seemed to bother no one. No less shocking than this apparently wilful destruction of national consensus was the stark absence of any diplomatic offensive in support of the Indian nuclear programme and to find a meeting ground with the international community between the needs of Indian security and the goals of nuclear nonproliferation and eventual elimination of nuclear weapons. Evidently, no home work was ever done. Belated attempts at damage control have doubtless produced results. The nuclear dialogue with the USA has not yet led to a mutually satisfactory understanding. But promising progress has been made. The dialogue with Pakistan, which is of overriding importance, has been given a tremendous boost by the bus diplomacy and now covers nuclear confidence building measures regardless of what happens over other issues between the two neighbours. This, combined with a Budget that had elements pleasing various sections of the people, should normally have ended the BJP-led coalitions first year in power on a happy note. But, unfortunately, that was not to be. The governments Bihar fiasco, now underlined by the hasty retreat from the Patna Raj Bhavan of the controversial Governor, Mr Sunder Singh Bhandari, has cast a very dark shadow on the governments annual balance sheet. In fact, the Bihar disaster, like the maladroit handling of the all-important nuclear tests, turns the spotlight on the ruling coalitions cardinal sin: a seemingly irremediable proclivity to act in indecent haste and then rue at leisure. The attempt to impose Presidents rule in Bihar was wrong, morally and politically, from the word go. To go ahead with it, without being sure of the mandatory support in the Rajya Sabha, was an act of crass folly. The crowning irony, however, is that the reckless move in Bihar is not the only one which the Vajpayee government has had to withdraw in humiliating circumstances. The tragedy is that some of the wisest and most necessary decisions that Mr Vajpayee took such as reduction of profligate subsidies, rise in petroleum prices or phone tariffs and so on have also been rescinded almost immediately. To nobodys surprise, this has earned the ruling dispensation the unflattering nickname a roll-back government. It is no good for any apologist of the government to argue that these are compulsions of coalition politics. The art or science of statecraft, to say nothing of demands of leadership, requires that a consensus within the coalition be evolved first and the policy formulated only later. To reverse the process by acting first and retreating under pressure, often from a small partner in the governing combination, makes no sense at all. Were this all, things would have been depressing enough. They have been made even more troubling because the BJP is no longer in a position to boast as it could do until about three months ago with some justification that nobody had accused it of corruption and malfeasanee. On both counts now the government is under attack. The dismissal of the former Chief of Naval Staff, Admiral Vishnu Bhagwat, on the penultimate day of the last year, unprecedented in the annals of our armed forces since Independence, has shown the government, especially the Defence Minister, in very poor light. If there are sound reasons to have removed the Admiral, the country has yet to hear them. To insinuate that the governments reticence has something to do with national security does not wash. If the former CNS has violated national security he must be courtmartialled. To Parliament and the people, the government must come clean. Its unwillingness to do so is underscored by the mess over the formation of an informal committee of the two Houses to decide whether the issue should be discussed in the open House and if so within what parameters. It is in this context that the former Navy Chiefs serious charges of corruption against Mr George Fernandes have to be viewed and answered. Equally serious are the charges levelled by Mr Mohan Guruswamy, the BJPs own appointee as adviser to the Finance Minister who was sacked as summarily as he was appointed abruptly. His allegations are not confined to Mr Yashwant Sinha. They are directed also at the PMO and the Prime Ministers son-in-law. One more rather pertinent
point needs to be made. Those trying to control the
government from behind the scene must realise that there
is greater goodwill for Mr Vajpayee than for the
collectivity called the ruling coalition. The Prime
Minister ought to do more to build on this foundation
than he has done so far. |
Australia: populate or perish IN the late eighties when Mr John Howard, as opposition leader, advocated a curb on Asian immigration to maintain Australias social cohesion (a euphemism of keeping Australia White), he was widely criticised by the political and intellectual establishment. He later regretted his remarks to repair the electoral damage it caused with the Asian settlers in Australia. However, after becoming Prime Minister in 1996, his government wasted no time to restrict immigration numbers, effectively curbing migrant inflow from Asia as a major source. Mr Howard seemed to be competing with Ms Pauline Hanson (the apostle of White supremacy) for who the whitest of all was. In process, he coopted much of Ms Hansons race agenda and put it into practice. Which would explain, among other things, the relative eclipse of Ms Hanson and her One Nation Party. This brief background is necessary to put in perspective the recent effort by the opposition Labour Party to push the case for a higher intake of immigrants into the country. As the Labour Partys immigration spokesman said in February, Now they (the Hansonites) are on the way down and we are two-and-half-year out from an election, lets have the debate on immigration. In other words, it is relatively safe politically. Indeed, the Labour Party has a very vocal and powerful supporter in Mr Jeff Kennett, Victorias premier from Mr John Howards Liberal Party. According to Mr Kennett, The country needs people without people we have no county... we are now currently allowing 60,000 a year into the country that is ridiculously low. Mr Kim Beazley, the Labour Party opposition leader, is being cautious by advocating the adoption of a five -year population policy (still to be unfolded) without committing himself to any specific number. He is, therefore, testing the political waters, while supporting the broad thrust of his immigration spokesman on the need for increased immigration. It would seem that he is leaving the room open for a political backflip, if the debate were to assume racist overtones with Asians inevitably to figure as prospective migrants. Mr Beazley has already signalled a change in favour of skilled migrants over family reunion. While in government, the Labour Party had supported family reunion. Under this, migrants already settled in Australia could sponsor their parents and other blood relatives to join them in Australia; though the Labour government later tightened the rules to control the numbers. Under Mr John Howards government, family reunion is almost a dirty word and a bad policy with all sorts of restrictions to curb it. Mr Beazley still takes a relatively compassionate view of family reunion. According to him, The fact of the matter is if you invite people into this country and you wont let in mum and dad you have got to pause for thought... otherwise you just create a bunch of depressed new Australians. The obvious question (leaving aside the immigration categories) is: why is this sudden interest in increased immigration into Australia? The receding of open racism, as espoused by Ms Pauline Hanson and her ilk, is an important factor pointed out by the Labours immigration spokesman. It is, therefore, possible now to talk rationally on the subject. For instance, the compelling economic argument that without a large internal market Australias economic future will not be all that bright, seems to make sense. Without a growing internal market of its own, Australia will always be subject to the vagaries of external markets for the export of its primary and mineral products. Not surprisingly, the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry is among the most vocal supporters of increased immigration. Another important imperative is the need for more working age people to support Australias growing ageing population. Australias natural growth rate is not enough to replace the loss. Increased immigration, therefore, is the only alternative. As Ms Beazley has put it, We cannot afford a situation where fewer and fewer people are supporting more and more in retirement or out of the workforce (unemployed), it wont work. Australia also needs more people to repopulate its regional and remote areas. Australians (including migrants) tend to flock to coastal cities like Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth. The rural and regional Australia is emptying fast. The state of Tasmania (remote as it is) is losing people to the mainland, and its economic base is contracting. Increased immigration could be targeted to populate these regions with suitable incentives for new arrivals. But the proponents of increased population might soon find themselves on the defensive, as the purveyors of racial hate find a new ammunition to ignite old prejudices. Prime Minister John Howard is quite happy with the present reduced immigration intake based on high skills and business acumen. While there is a very
strong case for a larger population for Australia (which
inevitably means greater immigration), the Labour
Partys advocacy of it might not endear it to the
electorate. The majority tends to believe that for racial
and economic reasons (immigrants allegedly take away
local jobs and cost the exchequer in terms of support and
services) Australia shouldnt take more migrants
even though there is ample evidence to suggest
that immigrants have greatly enriched the country
economically and culturally. But that is a different
story. |
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