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Wednesday, June 2, 1999
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editorials

It is ISI time in TN
S
UNDAY and Monday have been lucky for the Tamil Nadu police. It stumbled on explosive material at such sensitive cities as Coimbatore, Chennai and Thiruchirappally early in the morning.

Dangerous precedent
THE domestic political fallout of the Army action in Kargil must have made Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee realise that important ministerial positions should never be distributed recklessly merely to keep the coalition going.

Up in smoke
MAY 31 came and went, without too many people knowing that it was no-tobacco day.

Edit page articles

THE RUSSIAN CAULDRON
by M. L. Madhu
MR Yevgeny Primakov is the third Prime Minister whom President Boris Yeltsin has sacked in the last 14 months. He was fired on May 12.

A Himalayan eco-disaster
by Radhakrishna Rao

T
HE recent earthquake in Chamoli in the Garhwal region of UP, leading to more than 100 deaths and widespread devastation, is being viewed as a fallout of the gross abuse of the eco-system of the seismically active Himalayan ranges.



Time for a lasting solution
by Maj Gen Himmat Singh Gill

THE nature of the violent conflagration on the high mountain tops of the Kargil sector, and the activisation of the entire LoC master-minded by those across the border, calls for an immediate in-depth analysis of the strategic and geo-political situation prevailing on our northern borders, and what needs to be now done to quickly resolve a dangerous situation which otherwise has all the potential for further deterioration.


Middle

Unwrinkled newspapers
by A. C. Tuli

I
AM used to receiving my morning newspapers as they come fresh from the press — that is, smooth, wrinkleless and with just one centrefold. Of course, this has been possible because all my life I have lived mostly in ground-floor houses or flats.



75 Years Ago

Fighting plague in Lahore
Lahore: His Excellency the Governor, accompanied by Col Forster, Director of Public Health, and Mr Emerson, Deputy Commissioner, Lahore, made a minute inspection this morning of the municipal arrangements for dealing with the existing epidemic of plague.

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It is ISI time in TN

SUNDAY and Monday have been lucky for the Tamil Nadu police. It stumbled on explosive material at such sensitive cities as Coimbatore, Chennai and Thiruchirappally early in the morning. There were several strange features about the discovery, which in itself is not unusual in that state. One, the explosives were neatly packed with detonators, fuse wires and timing devices. Whoever planted them took great care to ensure that policemen noticed them and got them defused. In all probability the police also received a tip-off in each case. Two, the bags also contained literature and a letter from the banned Islamic fundamentalist organisation, Al Umma, demanding the release of about a dozen or so members doing a long prison term. For ready reference, there were photographs of the convicts and a blunt threat that their further incarceration would cost some VIPs their life. Needless to say, the police promptly worked itself up to a high energy mode and shared with the Press more than what they knew.

One intrepid constable revealed how the ticking sound of the quartz timer attracted his attention. A quartz clock ticking away noisily? Another policeman, this time an inspector, pointed to a hole in the compound wall of a boys hostel and declared that subversives had caused it by using explosives. A closer examination actually revealed a big hole in the police version. Bricks from the wall have fallen on both sides and a nearby window has partly collapsed as would any old structure. The oddest thing was the nature of the sites chosen to keep the explosives. In each case it was a busy police station, administrative office or residential block and the time was early in the morning when most people would be up and about. Even if the men with criminal intent were decidedly police-friendly, they would not have taken the slightest risk of being caught and sent to a long prison term. Yet this is what their action proclaims!

Opposition parties have already started murmuring their amazement at the simultaneous seizure of five bags of explosives and the police claims. Since February last year when a series of bomb blasts in Coimbatore swung the votes in favour of the AIADMK-BJP alliance, a pattern has emerged. The police periodically seize bomb-making material, both in big and small quantities, and round up a few suspects. On their part, politicians fling accusations and demand the dismissal of the state government. Now that another mid-term election is round the corner, this bomb-detection drive has picked up momentum. No, the DMK is not communal at all; since the fifties, the Muslims have voted solidly for the party attracted by its rationalist (anti-idol worshipping) thrust. But there are other forces who will benefit by whipping up an anti-Pakistan and anti-ISI frenzy and linking Al Umma with it. Sure enough, even a sober politician like Chief Minister Karunanidhi has gone on record seeing an ISI hand in a few gelatine sticks, chemicals normally used in mining operations and timers. This loud ISI denunciation just before an election may actually have nothing to do with the ISI and everything to do with the election. Fighting for votes threatens to enter an explosive phase.
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Dangerous precedent

THE domestic political fallout of the Army action in Kargil must have made Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee realise that important ministerial positions should never be distributed recklessly merely to keep the coalition going. Even when the situation on the border with Pakistan was not as alarming as it is today Defence Minister George Fernandes was usually only a hand shaking distance away from all manner of controversies. More recently he made the entire country look at him with bafflement when he absolved Mr Nawaz Sharif and the ISI of having any role in the Pakistan army's acts of encouraging cross-border terrorism in Jammu and Kashmir by sending in trained and armed infiltrators. Now he has added another chapter to his book of controversies by arranging a special briefing on the Kargil situation by senior defence personnel for the Bharatiya Janata Party national executive. Was the briefing organised to mollify the BJP and other members of the Sangh Parivar who were understandably annoyed with him for having given a clean chit to Mr Nawaz Sharif and the ISI?

It is amazing that a leader of Mr Fernandes' standing does not seem to know his duties and responsibilities as Defence Minister. Reports on the special briefing for the BJP national executive suggest that Mr Fernandes used his ministerial muscle for 'persuading' two senior officers,Lt Gen N.C. Vij, Director General of Military Operations,and Air Marshal S.K. Malik, Assistant Additional Chief of Air Staff, 'to do the needful'.The Opposition parties have rightly expressed concern over the extraordinary decision to arrange an inter-action between the military top brass and the BJP national executive.The Opposition parties may find wide support to their interpretation that the BJP has set 'harmful' precedents by getting serving officers to brief its national executive.The action was indeed 'inappropriate' since it has the potential to comprise the 'political neutrality' of the armed services.Instead of expressing regret for the unprecedented decision the BJP leadership has had the audacity to suggest that 'other political parties were free to make a request to the Defence Minister for a similar meeting'. They are evidently not aware that two wrongs do not make a right.
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Up in smoke

MAY 31 came and went, without too many people knowing that it was no-tobacco day. Had there been a perceptible reduction in the use of cigarettes for even this single day, the whole effort would have been worthwhile but that was not to be. The slow poisoning continued regardless. It is not for want of trying. It is just that tobacco does not evoke the same revulsion as, say, drugs or even liquor. That would have been possible but for the fact that the cigarette industry comprises a mega-buck pressure group and knows how to deflect all criticism. In fact, a large part of the publicity budget of multinational tobacco companies is spent on presenting a docile face. If one tobacco company presents bravery awards, another sponsors international cricket matches. Superstars of sport wear their logos. The overall impression that gets generated is that smoking is some kind of a fashion statement and not a bad habit. After all, how could the hero who jumps onto a rope trolley to save a damsel in distress after enjoying his favourite cigarette be wrong? Amidst all the hype, hardly anyone has the time or the inclination to read the statutory warning in small print on every pack that cigarette smoking is injurious to health.

Whether the warning is heeded or not, it remains a ruthless killer nevertheless. India alone witnessed as many as 3,83,000 tobacco deaths last year. A full 51,000 of those killed were females. What is worrying is that the figure constituted two-thirds of the total such deaths in Southeast Asia. Obviously, the epidemic is spreading particularly quickly in this country. Still, the overall attempt to curb the menace is not quite as serious as it should be. The ban imposed on smoking at public places and also on the sale of cigarettes and bidis at specified places is defied with such nonchalance that one starts wondering whether it is in existence at all. That is why the dragon is spreading its tentacles so fast. The World Health Report, 1999, presents a dismal scenario. By the year 2020, one out of every three adult deaths would be due to tobacco. Worldwide tobacco deaths per year would rise by 2.5 times from about four million last year to about 10 million in 2030 —more than the total deaths per year from malaria, TB and major childhood ailments. The time to reverse the trend is now. The government alone cannot win the war. Every citizen has to play a role, not only in self-discipline but also in motivating a near and dear one to fully realise the gravity of the threat that tobacco poses. If half of the adult smokers worldwide quit smoking over the next 20 years, about one-third of the tobacco deaths in 2020 can be avoided.
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THE RUSSIAN CAULDRON
Factors behind Stepashin’s elevation
by M. L. Madhu

MR Yevgeny Primakov is the third Prime Minister whom President Boris Yeltsin has sacked in the last 14 months. He was fired on May 12. The other two — Victor Chernomyrdin and Mr Sergei Kiriyenko — were ousted on March 23 and August 23 last year. The dismissal of Mr Chernomyrdin was generally accepted as a normal step because he had worked as Prime Minister for about five years — a pretty long period – but had failed to show any substantial results. True, he was able to control inflation and stabilise rouble and avoid any serious financial crisis in the last two years of his term but only to create more serious problems in the near future. He made pyramids of government bonds and securities which ultimately collapsed, leading to the worst possible financial crisis of August 17 last year, which resulted in the downfall of the young, energetic and intelligent economic reformer and democrat, Mr Kiriyenko. Russia has not been able to recover from this crisis so far.

Mr Yevgeny Primakov was persuaded to become Prime Minister in a very odd and difficult economic-financial , political and social situation. He took charge on September 11 last year and had till then proved his ability as the chief of the Russian federal security service and head of the Russian Foreign Ministry. At the time of his becoming Prime Minister he was considered a successful Foreign Minister and had fundamentally changed his predecessor Andrey Kozyrev’s policy of ignoring the East and heavily depending on or too much tilting towards the West. He balanced this policy and gave due importance to Russia’s relations with China, India and Arab countries. He emphasised the role of the Russia-China-India triangle in world affairs.

Calm, sober, soft spoken, scholarly and honest, Mr Primakov was fully aware and conscious of the hard tasks and challenges he had to face as Prime Minister. He moved slowly and cautiously in political, economic-financial and social fields.

Realising the fact that to function successfully, he needed the backing of all political parties and factions, he formed a coalition government representing different political views. According to some analysts, such a government was formed for the first time in Russian history. Thus he was able to forge political unity, though a fragile one, but still it could enable him to function without much hindrance in his day-to-day work. He established a normal and cooperative relationship with the Duma — the Lower House of Parliament.

In the economic and financial field, he kept strict control on the monetary policy. Though he paid the salary and pension arrears by printing money, he succeeded in saving the country from hyper inflation which was threatening to disrupt the system after the August financial crisis of last year. His government not only kept inflation in control but also managed to pay off some of Russia’s foreign debts. His government was able to negotiate successfully loans from the IMF and the World Bank which could further help in economic and financial stability. Production had also started to show some recovery.

In the social field , he removed those tensions which were caused by the non-payment of salaries and pensions in time and regularly. Mr Primakov did not bow to the pressures of indexing salaries and pensions which though he had sympathy for the miserable lot of the poor — could lead to inflation by increasing the money supply considerably. His government started a quiet but effective campaign against corruption at different levels, especially at higher levels.

In the eight months of his premiership, Mr Primakov achieved tangible results, and his popularity increased day by day. Some leading Russian politicians like Mr Yury Luzhkov described him as the “best Prime Minister, at least in the last 10 years or so”. In the public opinion polls he had the highest rating in the last few months, leaving behind Communist leader Gennady Zyuganov , Luzhkov and others.

But in spite of Mr Primakov’s success, Mr Yeltsin sacked him, though he admitted in his television address to the nation that “Yevgeny Maksimovitch Primakov arrived at a very difficult time, a period of severe crisis in the country. He succeeded in halting the crisis in the economic and social spheres. The government has completely fulfilled the tactical task, but in economics we are at the same place as before.”

Thus according to Mr Yeltsin, a cautious Primakov did not do enough in the economic field from the fundamental and structural point of view and, that is why, he removed him. On the very face of it, Mr Yeltsin’s reasoning does not sound convincing. In a short period of eight months structural and fundamental changes were not possible in an economy deeply stuck in crisis.

Why did Mr Yeltsin sack Mr Primakov? Most of the political analysts, observers, Russian media people and the public at large agree that Mr Primakov’s success and popularity became the main cause of his downfall. Mr Yeltsin cannot tolerate anyone eclipsing him. This view can be substantiated by quotations from a number of leading daily and weekly newspapers which are highly critical of Mr Yeltsin’s action. But in overview, it would be sufficient to quote a few words of Mr Mikhail Gorbachov, the first and last President of the former Soviet Union . In a popular weekly, Novaya Gazeta (New Newspaper), he writes, “only 2 to 5 per cent Russians have faith in Yeltsin, whereas 63 per cent trust Primakov… We all know that President Yeltsin can’t tolerate it.”

According to Mr Gorbachov , not only Mr Yeltsin’s jealousy but also his fear of his own and his family’s future instigated him to act against Mr Primakov. He writes, “ Primakov did not take good care of President’s future. How can Yeltsin rely on such a person for his peaceful future as a pensioner.” Thus concludes Mr Gorbachov that Mr Yeltsin’s jealousy and fear of his safe future are the two main causes of Mr Primakov’s downfall. But to these two a few more causes can be added.

Mr Yeltsin and the people surrounding him did not believe in Mr Primakov’s often repeated statement that he has no political ambitions, and suspected that he is preparing his own base and strengthening his position quietly and slowly.

Mr Primakov’s government was trying to dig deep in corruption at the Kremlin level and people of his inner circle, especially like tycoon Berezovsky, were afraid of the consequences. They wanted Mr Primakov’s ouster and prompted Mr Yeltsin to do so.

It is also said that Mr Primakov did not do much to put a brake on the impeachment process against Mr Yeltsin. He could have done so by influencing the Communists with whom he had fairly good, even warm relations and who were the main initiators and ardent advocates of the impeachment move against Mr Yeltsin.

In short, all the above and some other reasons which in Mr Yeltsin’s view were the weak points of Mr Primakov and his government led to his shifting from the top. As pointed out earlier, most of the analysts and common Russians disapprove of Mr Yeltsin’s action and are sympathetically inclined towards Mr Primakov. Some politicians, including Mr Luzhkov, are keen that Mr Primakov agree to join hands with them for the coming parliamentary and presidential elections, but Mr Primakov is keeping his options open for the present and not reacting to such offers.

After sacking Mr Primakov, President Yeltsin nominated Mr Sergei Stepashin as Acting Prime Minister. Mr Stepashin was interior Minister and First Deputy Prime Minister in Mr Primakov’s Cabinet. Born in a Russian naval officer’s family, he has Doctor of Law and Doctor of History degrees. He has worked for about two decades in the Soviet or Russian security services. He has also been the Director of the federal security service — old KGB — and Justice Minister before becoming the Interior Minister.

Why did Mr Yeltsin nominate Mr Stepashin? Most of the political thinkers opine that Mr Yeltsin was counting on the support of security forces, and wanted a loyal and faithful general to head the government. Mr Stepashin is considered not only a loyal leader but also a defender of Mr Yeltsin. At the time of Mr Stepashin’s nomination, the sword of impeachment was hanging over Mr Yeltsin’s head. If he had been impeached, many unforeseeable situations could arise and a faithful general could be of great help.

In certain circles this view was also expressed that Mr Yeltsin, if impeached, could on some pretext declare an emergency, dissolve the Lower House of Parliament and rule the country with decrees to be carried out by Mr Stepashin as his nominee. But, thanks God, nothing of the sort happened and all such hypotheses remained speculations.

The failure of the Duma to impeach Mr Yeltsin completely changed the political scenario. It had become obvious that the Duma will approve of Mr Stepashin’s nomination in the very first voting. The same happened on May 19.

Mr Sergei Stepashin is young and has good experience of administration in different capacities. He is generally considered honest and efficient. While speaking in the State Duma after his approval, he indicated his intention to make fundamental and structural changes in the economy. But his lack of knowledge and experience in the economic field and only a few months remaining before the parliamentary elections in December, cast doubts at his ability to do so. Fears are also expressed that he might become another Pinochet, but he said in the lighter vein that he was Stepashin and not Pinochet.

Time will tell what he is in reality.

———

(The author, based in Moscow for a long time, specialises in Russian affairs.)
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A Himalayan eco-disaster
by Radhakrishna Rao

THE recent earthquake in Chamoli in the Garhwal region of UP, leading to more than 100 deaths and widespread devastation, is being viewed as a fallout of the gross abuse of the eco-system of the seismically active Himalayan ranges.

The picturesque Garhwal region had been going through a spell of earth tremors and forest fires. After the massive earthquake of March 29, the region felt more than 300 big and small tremors.

The widespread deforestation in the Himalayan region is also being blamed for an ever-increasing incidence of landslips and landslides all along this geologically young mountain range. Environmentalists say an increasing human interference in the domain of nature has magnified the potential of danger to property and life in this hilly part of the country.

Fast drying up of aquifers in this hilly part of India has resulted in womenfolk walking an increasingly longer distance to fetch potable water. Similarly, with the forest cover receding at an alarming pace, women are forced into walking a distance of upto 6 km to collect fuelwood.

Thus, the eco-plunder of the Himalayas has placed an intolerable burden on women, who, in the absence of the menfolk working in plains, are required to shoulder the burden of managing the families. Many of these women, unable to bear the intolerable burden life has placed on them, have simply committed suicide.

Like the Garhwal region, the Kumaon Himalayas too are witnessing major changes in response to a growing human pressure on the finite natural resources. Here there has been a massive decline in the oak forest cover due to the exploitation and clearance for terrace cultivation. Further unchecked livestock grazing, indiscriminate wood cutting, lopping and collection of minor forest products have all added to the eco-degradation of the region.

A study by the World Wide Fund for Nature — India and Wildlife Society of India (WSI) says that the major threat to Kumaon's biodiversity includes cutting of trees, extraction of medicinal plants, fire hazards and poaching of wild animals. The worst-affected parts are said to be villages around glaciers or areas close to the plains. Poaching of musk deer, Himalayan black bear and snow leopard has been found to be rampant around glaciers.

The ongoing controversy surrounding the Tehri dam that seeks to impound the water of the river Bhagirathi in the Himalayan heights has brought into sharp focus the dangers of locating dams in a seismically active region.

The impact of impounded water on accelerating earthquake is quite well established. In this context, the noted eco-activist and researcher, Dr Vandana Shiva, says: "An independent scientific commission needs to be urgently set up by citizens to understand the interaction between man-made and natural processes in the Garhwal earthquake, so that the occurrences and impact of such disasters can be minimised."

Despite widespread concern about the dangerous fallout of deforestation, timber mafia continues to be quite active in both the Garhwal and Kumaon regions. "Trees are being cut in large numbers by unscrupulous businessmen everyday. They have a lot of money and employ goons to do work. So we sold off our land. There are many like us and we do not know what our sons will do", said a villager in the interior hamlet of the Kumaon region.

The majestic, towering deodar and chir trees that once covered the entire stretch of Garhwal, providing a simmering green look, are rapidly disappearing. With deforestation spreading, agricultural fields are losing their fertility, forcing cultivators to move to nearby urban areas in search of livelihood.

The so-called Himalayan action plan aims at restoring the eco-stability of the Himalayas, to which several institutions, including Garhwal University and G.B. Pant Institute of Himalayan Environment and Development, have contributed.

The most conspicuous feature of this action plan is the realisation that all the strategies tried out so far for afforestation and ecological restoration has never focused on the needs of the people inhabiting the Himalayan region. Thus, the thrust of the plan is on the regeneration of forest resources to provide fuel , fodder and small timber requirements of the natives.

But the Himalayas continue to bleed under the impact of developmental projects. And reversing this trend to restore the eco-health of this magnificent mountain range would call for Himalayan efforts. — INFA
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Middle

Unwrinkled newspapers
by A. C. Tuli

I AM used to receiving my morning newspapers as they come fresh from the press — that is, smooth, wrinkleless and with just one centrefold. Of course, this has been possible because all my life I have lived mostly in ground-floor houses or flats. I remember when for a couple of years I had to live in a second-floor apartment in a big city, it took me long to reconcile myself to newspapers rolled up into scrolls as these were flung into our balcony by the newspaper-boy.

A newspaper vendor, always in a tearing hurry because of the hundreds of papers he has to distribute on his beat in the morning, cannot be expected to lavish loving care on folding newspapers, which he has to hurl into flats above the ground floor. Normally, he takes a newspaper, rolls it tightly till it starts looking like a policeman’s baton, and to make sure that the roll stays as roll and does not unfurl like a parachute in mid-air, he slips a rubber band round it.

Now, if such a newspaper is unfolded as soon as it lands on your balcony, there are fairly good chances of its regaining its original shape with only a few minor damages here and there. But if you happen to be busy with your household chores when the newspaper descends on your premises with a loud thud, and you allow it to lie there for half an hour, then there is no power on earth which can smoothen it out again so that you may leisurely spread it on your lap to read it.

The newspaper then has to be unrolled the way your astrologer unrolls your horoscope. A slight carelessness in handling this scroll, and it rolls up again. In fact, it shares the penchant of a well-known reptile for coiling up at the drop of a hat!

I was once so vexed by my newspapers’ tendency to roll up time and again as I sat perusing it that I decided to try a novel experiment. I took our electric iron, heated it to what I thought was the right temperature, and then set about pressing the newspaper into shape. Alas, the iron was a trifle too hot and I ended up partially burning the newspaper. Incidentally, the portions that were burnt out were the most readable part of the newspaper!

A colleague who lives in a fourth-floor flat once suggested another — and, of course, far safer — method of smoothing the folds out of a newspaper that has been folded up a little too mercilessly. “Unfold the newspaper,” he explained, “and then re-fold it in the reverse order. Do it twice or thrice and lo! Your newspaper is all right again. I mean almost all right again.”

I have tried this method but, regrettably, without obtaining the desired results. Therefore, I must warn greenhorns, who are always eager to blunder into rash experiments just for the heck of it, to desist from it. Folding a newspaper in the reverse order may smoothen out the folds, but the newspaper becomes all too ribbed in the process . So it is no good.

As multistorey flats are becoming the order of the day, a newspaper vendor can no longer depend on the strength of his arm and his unerring marksmanship for delivering newspapers to subscribers living on the sixth or seventh floor. So, nowadays the bunch of newspapers meant for a block of apartment houses is given by the vendor to its liftman. Later, he delivers them to individual subscribers, of course for a consideration. Not a bad bargain, indeed, for that way one gets one’s newspaper, as I said in the beginning, smooth, wrinkleless and with just one centre fold.
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Security and strategy
Time for a lasting solution
by Maj Gen Himmat Singh Gill

THE nature of the violent conflagration on the high mountain tops of the Kargil sector, and the activisation of the entire LoC master-minded by those across the border, calls for an immediate in-depth analysis of the strategic and geo-political situation prevailing on our northern borders, and what needs to be now done to quickly resolve a dangerous situation which otherwise has all the potential for further deterioration.

My aim here is not to dwell at any length on what has already happened on the military front, or to trace out any aberrations noticed in the acquisition of intelligence, or the somewhat delayed Indian response to the uncalled-for intrusions and infiltration. With the ground and aerial bombardments in progress, and dogged attacks by our troops to rid the Kargil, Dras and Batalik valleys of the battle-hardened and well-equipped intruders now almost a daily occurrence, we must turn hereafter to some of the other macro-level issues that deserve our immediate attention. The situation on the ground is sometimes very different to what is often projected on TV or even in some of our print media, by some not very well experienced defence analysts and war correspondents, or many greenhorns in journalism now suddenly assigned to the active front.

The first and foremost need is a ‘psychological de-escalation’ of the ongoing operations to the level of a local border clash in a particular sector, and not to term it as an all-out conflict between India or Pakistan, which is not the case at this stage. This task can be accomplished by an enlightened media and of course, by our diplomats and, other official functionaries in India and abroad. The armed forces will take whatever actions are deemed operationally necessary in Kargil, but there is a definite need to defuse the situation and diminish the overreaction at many levels, including the economic sector which has already witnessed a steep downward trend in the share markets.

Secondly, having done this, it must be our endeavour that the Kargil issue is under no circumstances made a subject for legislation by external powers, including the UN, or agencies like the UNIMOGIP military observer group in the valley. Any interference from that quarter could adversely affect the ongoing military operations and divert the attention of our troops from the ground fighting.

Thus, having first prepared a level playing field for the armed forces, it would then he our first priority to ensure, and doubly ensure, that under no circumstances does our line of communications fall into the aggressor’s hands and, in fact, is not even remotely tampered or interfered with, by hostile action, because of ambushes or sabotage on the ground, or hostile artillery bombardment. In this connection a parallel road network in the Dras, Suru, Shingo river valleys would greatly facilitate our troops and stores movement. The Manali-Leh road needs to be opened up immediately, so as to take on the convoy traffic, which has been restricted on the Zojila-Dras-Kargil road. The need to keep open the lines of communication is absolutely essential for the upkeep of the troops deployed in the Leh sector and beyond, and for the stocking of equipment, rations, POL and ammunitions.

The other requirement is to evict at any cost, any intrusions or infiltration, by employing the ‘queen of the battle’ — the infantry — along the ridgelines in any numbers as is deemed necessary, and support this attack by heavy-to-intense artillery fire. As one had brought out on May 26 on Star News TV, air support though providing a softening up and a psychological edge to own troops, cannot be the final answer to winning small-size battles in the mountains, where target acquisition, observation, and after strike monitoring of damage inflicted, poses certain difficulties for planes flying at great speeds. The manoeuvrability of the aircraft, flying close to the LoC, imposes certain restrictions on close ground support role, which obviously is the prime role currently for our Air Force in Kargil. One saw in Afghanistan during the Soviet invasion of 1979 and in Vietnam in the mid 60s that the mountains do somewhat restrict close support air operations.

The next task that would now have to be ensured is, that having thrown out the intruders, the troops would hereafter have to possibly keep occupying certain crucial heights during the winter too, as is being affected in Siachen. The reoccupation of these heights by the other side just cannot be now accepted, though it is well understood that such measures would increase the logistic problems to some degree.

Once the fighting dies down, and with the energisation of our diplomatic efforts, the entire efficacy, role or the requirement of having the UN observer group in the J&K valley would need to be reassessed. Had they been effective, the present conflagration may well have been restricted to a smaller scale.

The other major point missed out by even those who call themselves defence experts is that the cease fire line (CFL) in the Kargil sector was delineated, demarcated, and very clearly established with reference to the factual position on the ground, in terms of the UN-sponsored Karachi agreement of July 29, 1949. After the 1971 war, both sides retained whatever they had captured, and thus the CFL became the LoC, which is the Line of Control we have today. In the Kargil sector there is no confusion whatsoever as to where on the ground the LoC runs, and Indian defence officials and diplomats must counter Pakistan’s designs to create any confusion on the ‘positioning’ of this line and thus maintain that the intruders have not crossed the LoC and are on their own side.

Pakistan by now should have seen India will not tolerate any infiltration or incursions into its territory, and should desist from assisting or abetting the opening up of new fronts along the LoC. India should quickly rid itself of the intruders, because a long drawn-out military stalemate in Kargil is not to its advantage. Critical heights would have to be held during the winter too, as we are doing in the glacier region. There is no other option. Neither is this the time for opening up new flashpoints as many defence analysts have suggested, so that the heat can be taken off the Kargil sector. It should also be of little concern to us as to who has masterminded this operation from across the border.

After the LoC has been ‘restored’ it would be time I think, to sit down and hammer out a lasting solution anchored on the oft-defined Simla Agreement and Mr Vajpayee’s Lahore bus diplomacy. Pakistan must even now pull back from its misadventure and grasp India’s hand of reason and peace.
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75 YEARS AGO

Fighting plague in Lahore

LAHORE: His Excellency the Governor, accompanied by Col Forster, Director of Public Health, and Mr Emerson, Deputy Commissioner, Lahore, made a minute inspection this morning of the municipal arrangements for dealing with the existing epidemic of plague.

The general organisation adopted is the institution of a large number of convenient centres which act as reporting stations, disinfection and inoculation stations and centres for coordinating the efforts of philanthropic societies and voluntary workers.

Each centre has a medical staff composed of voluntary medical officers and municipal medical officers.

In addition to these centres, arrangements have also been made for the establishment of plague camps in the Minto Park for the convenience of people wishing to evacuate their houses.

At the first centre visited, His Excellency was met by the President of the Municipal Committee. At each centre, His Excellency interviewed voluntary workers and prominent citizens, ascertaining from them their views as to further requirements.
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