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Indications of industrial revival
The core sector growth index up by 7.3 per cent in June
Jayshree Sengupta
While expectations are still high regarding the Modi government on the economic front, no rabbits have been pulled out of the hat yet. Some favourable factors have emerged which may help in the revival of the economy from sub 5 per cent GDP growth to a higher growth trajectory. The best news so far has been that industrial growth picked up to 4.7 per cent in May 2014 but unfortunately went down to 3.4 per cent in June. In any case it is indicative of an industrial revival. Exports grew at 12.4 per cent in May but slowed to 7.3 per cent in July. Import growth first declined (after the rise of duty on gold) but has increased to 4.5 per cent in July. The trade deficit was at $12.22 billion in July. The rupee, however, has been stable and has helped exports. Car sales considered a driver of industrial growth has gone up by 5 per cent in July. The FDI inflows declined by 45 per cent in the last quarter of FY 14 at $3.96 billion but FII inflows crossed $25 billion since January 2014. This indicates that foreign investors are bullish about India's growth potential but as is well known, FIIs are fickle and move around the world.
The core sector growth index was up by 7.3 per cent in June. There is an increase in iron and steel production by 4.2 per cent and cement production went up by 13.6 per cent. Construction and infrastructure are picking up due to the incentives offered in the Budget and an easing of regulations. The corporate sector has also shown better results in the first quarter (April to June 2014). Over 1,204 companies have registered a substantial growth of 33.4 per cent in the first quarter and net profit margin rose by 11.3 per cent. Sectors like IT and pharmaceuticals have been good performers. The monsoon deficit is also slowly shrinking and there is hope for a normal agricultural production though agricultural growth will be much less at 1.3 per cent and lower than the targeted rate of 4 per cent. With America’s GDP growth picking up to 4 per cent in the last quarter, there is hope for global recovery and the demand for services looks rosier. Growth is back for the big five: Infosys Technologies, Wipro, Cognizant Technology Solutions, HCL Technologies and TCS. They are hiring more people and additional jobs of 160,000 to 180,000 will be created in the next one year. Yet the domestic investment scene does not look too promising and the RBI has left the repo rates unchanged in its latest monetary policy. It has cut the SLR (statutory liquidity ratio) by 50 basis points to 22 per cent. This is likely to pump in an additional liquidity of Rs 40,000 crore into the financial system. A cut in the repo rates would have lowered interest rates and could have encouraged new investments. But the RBI is not confident about the monsoon and its impact on food prices. Inflation control is the prime target of the RBI and till it is sure that inflation will come down to 6 per cent, no change in the repo rates may be expected. The Consumer Price Index was at 7.3 per cent in June and rose to 7.9 per cent in July. New investments in the manufacturing sector for the quarter ending 2014 have dropped sharply by 72 per cent on a year-on-year basis. Only 50 new projects have been announced with an estimated investment of Rs 180 billion. This has been due to the slowing of industrial demand and substantial amount of capacity addition since 2008-09 as well as the pipeline of additional capacity carried on from past projects that have not been completed. These have made industrialists cautious and diffident in making fresh investment. Another area of concern is the falling savings rate to 30 per cent of the GDP from 38 per cent in 2008, and the government has to look into it because unless the savings rate is higher, investments will also slow down further. On the basis of the positive signs many are predicting 6 to 7 per cent GDP growth rate. But 22 per cent of the people are still extremely poor and their children suffer from malnourishment. According to the recent Human Development Report (July 2014), 55.3 per cent Indians suffer from multi-dimensional poverty, which includes multiple deprivations in the same household in education, health, sanitation and living standards. India has not done well on the Human Development Index and ranks at 135, according to the latest report. HDI has remained the same at 0.586 in 2013 as in 2012. A new Gender Development Index, defined as a ratio of female to male HDI, has ranked India at the 132 position. The Gender Inequality Index shows only 28.8 per cent labour force participation by women. There is a shortage of 15 million houses for the low-income groups and lack of good infrastructure for solid waste disposal and sanitation in cities. Today's life in cities is hardly conducive to peaceful and healthy living and the common person may well wonder: “Has there really been a change in two months?” Since problems are so big, there is no possibility of change in the short term. The problems require a genius to undo the harm done over the years to India’s administrative machinery, judiciary and political set-up. If only one thing can be solved, namely corruption, it would be a big achievement for the Modi government. According to The Economist of London, $4-12 billion has been paid as bribes to politicians and officials in the past decade. On the job creation front, there is need for higher manufacturing growth and the creation of ‘decent’ jobs and not just menial jobs of security guards and peons as around 10 million people will be enter the job market each year over the next decade. Around 90 per cent people still work in the informal sector which is in need of
better conditions of work and a social safety net.
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Varsities need reality check, not cheques
In the coming times, it is imperative to make Indian universities better equipped to raise their own resources. By developing better control mechanisms, it should be ensured that the budgets of universities are more future oriented and student-centric
Dinesh Gupta
UNIVERSITIES in India have an insatiable quest of asking for liberal funding from central — and state-government agencies in order to execute their plans. These include the creation and filling up of teaching and non-teaching positions, starting of new courses, funding of research projects, creating physical infrastructure, buying of expensive equipment and chemicals for laboratories, luxury cars for officials, air conditioners for teachers and officials, computers and laptops etc. Institutions of higher learning submit the proposals with sound justification to the funding agencies and, mostly, they succeed in getting the funds.

The investment on human capital has to go beyond awarding of degrees. Keeping the focus on students and their growth will automatically change the culture in universities. As a result, even the teaching and research competency set of the teachers will have to keep pace with ever-changing expectations of the recruiters. Tribune photo:
Parvesh Chauhan |
Sensing the vital role which higher education can play in positioning India as one of the lead players in global trade through economic transformation, the Government of India took a giant step in this regard by substantially enhancing the budgetary allocation for higher education in 11th Five-Year Plan to Rs 84,843 crore. This is a nine-fold increase over the 10th Plan outlay of Rs 9,600 crore. The 12th Plan outlay is pegged at Rs 1,10,700 crore, despite the fact that the utilisation rate of the 11th Plan outlay on higher education was low at 45.6 per cent, amounting to Rs 39,647 crore.

Out-of-box thinking yields rich dividends. The Director of the Coca-Cola University, RC Datta, taking classes of the retailers in the bus, during the inauguration of the first University on Wheels, aimed to empower rural retailers in business skills.
pti |
Strong control mechanism An in-depth analysis of any successful organisation will necessarily signify the existence of a strong control mechanism which orders individual human interactions in line with the goal(s) of the entity. Control as a concept has evolved over time, with the focus on power of human behaviour. Control plays a multidimensional role, leading to standardisation of performance and quality, safeguarding assets, and motivating people. A large-sized successful organisation has a well -crafted control system which enables it to drive its operations successfully in diverse geographic areas — with a portfolio of distinctly different products focused on the needs of its customers. A control system depends heavily on financial parameters. This write-up focuses on the need of the hour, that is, adoption of a strong financial control system in universities. To drive Indian universities at a pace which will enable them to compete globally, we will have to understand the perspective of world’s leading educational institutions of higher learning regarding finance in order to change our mindset. For this purpose, Harvard University and California Institute of Technology (Caltech), which figure at number one in the list of top-ranking universities of the world released by Shanghai Jiao Tong University and Times Higher Education, respectively, have been focused on for understanding their perspective on finance. Examples of Harvard & Caltech Harvard University is a 1636-born institution, with an annual budget of $4.2 billion and enrolment of 21,000 students. A deficit of $34 million reported by the Financial Report of the fiscal year 2013 created strong ripples in the world of higher education. Though the deficit turns out to be less than 1per cent of the Harvard University’s revenue, Daniel S. Shore, Vice-President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer, showed great concern for the deviation and harped that “The ability to stay in financial balance going forward depends in large part on an institutional commitment to cost management and an embrace of innovative revenue opportunities.” The President of Harvard University, Drew Gilpin Faust, said, “Every revenue stream upon which institutions of higher learning depend has come under pressure. Harvard has not been immune to these trends and we have to adapt.” Further, the financial review of the university concludes that the university could generate an investment return of 11.3 per cent. Caltech, established in 1891, despite its small size of 2,231 students, has to its credit the rare distinction of winning 33 Nobel Prizes and 70 United States National Medals of Science or Technology by its faculty and alumni. The Annual Report 2013 of Caltech shows a deficit of $3.8 million. Dearn Currie, Vice President for Business and Finance, says, “We continue to manage operating costs…. Although the long-term outlook for research funding from Federal agencies is uncertain, Caltech continues to receive a strong, steady flow of research funding”.
What makes them tick* Harvard University is a 1636-born institution, with an annual budget of $4.2 billion and enrolment of 21,000 students. * Caltech, or the California Institute of Technology, was established in 1891. Despite its small size of 2,231 students, it has to its credit the rare distinction of winning 33 Nobel Prizes and 70 United States National Medal of Science or Technology by its faculty and alumni. * The budgetary control system of the universities needs a thorough revamping. The present budgeting system is past-oriented and employee-focused. *
The best-run universities are worried about the costs, revenue and return, which become the core of a good control system.
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Best-run companies & varsities The comments of the finance experts of the above-listed two leading higher education institutes occupying leadership role in research and teaching speak loudly about better management of costs, creating a dependable long-term strengths-based revenue stream, and generating adequate return on investment. If one scans the annual report of any globally competitive company, one will find similar concerns outlined by the top management. For example, A. G. Lafley, Chief Executive Officer of Procter&Gamble, states in the 2013 Annual Report, “We’ll measure our business performance through operating total shareholder return”; we are significantly strengthening productivity and cost-savings efforts”. This signifies that the best-run universities of the globe are handling their finance function in the same manner in which the best-run companies do. The best-run universities are worried about the costs, revenue and return which become the core of a good control system. However, the university system in India is yet to gear itself to that level of control. For instance, Panjab University which was established in 1882 in its 2013 Budget at a Glance shows a deficit of Rs 191.79 crore, against revenue receipts of Rs 138.82 crore, which is roughly equivalent to $34 million deficit of Harvard University (at Rs 60 $ Re rate). There are no measures listed or initiated by the finance function of the university to control or reduce the deficit, enhance the quality of its revenue stream and generate a desired rate of return on the invested funds. It seems that control of deficit is meaningless in a university system as it happens to be the difference between the amount which the university proposes to spend and the funds which it can generate, mostly from the students. This mindset leads to the demand for liberal funding from the governments. I am yet to come across any university in India which has conducted an audit with a perspective of determining usefulness of its activities and outcomes. Outdated data-generation system How can the finance control function of Indian universities be made more vibrant? The most important aspect of a good control mechanism is the quality of financial data generated by the system. The existing data-generation mechanisms of universities are outdated and obsolete as the same are based on the single-entry system of accounting, which is grossly inferior to the double-entry system, which is globally used by all well-run organisations, including universities. Based on a single-entry system of accounting, the generated financial reports do not equip the decision maker with important bases on which he could lean to take meaningful decisions. For example, a university will not be in a position to tell about the amount of money it has invested in creation of physical assets like building and laboratories. So, the present system of accounting is constrained to help the decision maker to take decisions related the usage of such assets. In the process, the resource utilisation takes a backseat in universities, despite the fact that huge amount of public money has been invested over a period of time. Student-centric
budgets Though optimal utilisation of scarce funds has paramount importance, no decision maker in a university system has applied mind on the issue of optimal utilisation, say, of an expensive equipment of a laboratory? This does not fit in the accounting environ of the single-entry system. In line with this, the budgetary control system of the universities needs a thorough revamping. The present budgeting system is past-oriented and employee-focused. A closer analysis of the 2013 Budget of Panjab University shows that of the total budget 76.66 per cent (Rs 183.74 crore) has been spent on salaries and arrears, 10.43 per cent (Rs 25 crore) has been earmarked to the pension corpus, 1.14 per cent (Rs 2.74 crore) on medical assistance/medicines. On the whole, more than 90 per cent of the budget has been spent on its employees! Same is the case of other universities in India. In the process, the most important stakeholder, that is, the students, are ignored which the universities can ill afford. We should make the entire budgeting exercise future-oriented and student-centric. Such a budget will attempt to focus on the need of funds to empower students with specific skills and attitudes and consequently make them ready for seeking gainful employment in a globally competitive environment. This change in mindset of firming up better budgets, focused on the needs of the students, will automatically build a different culture in universities. That way, even the teaching and research competency set of teachers will keep on magnifying to keep pace with the ever-changing expectations of the recruiters. And in the process, a strong human capital will also get built. The human capital which we are building in universities at the moment is primarily based on the singular perspective of developing teaching- and-research expertise in an area in which the faculty is comfortable. This comfort-zone discourages the universities from opening the doors to those who provide employment opportunities to our students. The above-said changes in accounting and budgetary control system of universities and hence designing of better control mechanisms will lend accountability to financial endeavours. A new culture which is likely to emerge will focus on the needs of the students and consequential need of changes in other support systems, including faculty training and research, curriculum development, industry interface, and administrative support. It is high time that the University Grants Commission makes it necessary for all universities to make suggested changes in their control mechanisms and develops a data base of financial productivity of Indian universities. If the attitude to seek liberal funds is discouraged, India is likely to emerge as a global power, ready to meet the upcoming needs of developed nations in terms of quality human resources. The writer teaches at University Business School, Panjab University, Chandigarh
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