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Exit Polls predict big win for NDA in Bihar, disappointing debut for Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party

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Most exit polls give majority to the NDA. PTI
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Exit Polls on Tuesday predicted a return of the NDA government in Bihar with a big victory over the Mahagathbandhan, and a disappointing show by Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj in its debut outing.

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The Bihar polls were conducted in two phases on November 6 and 11, and the results will be announced on November 14.

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While the Matrize Exit Poll forecast the NDA likely getting between 147-167 seats, the Mahagathbandhan 70-90, and the Jan Suraaj between 0-2 seats, Dainik Bhaskar predicted 145-160 seats for the NDA and 73-91 for the Mahagathbandhan.

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Two pollsters -- Axis My India and Today's Chanakya -- will release their exit polls on Wednesday.

While the People's Insight predicted 133-148 seats for the NDA, 87-102 for the Mahagathbandhan and 0-2 for Jan Suraaj, the People's Pulse gave 133-159 seats to the NDA, 75-101 to the Mahagathbandhan, and 0-5 to Prashant Kishore's party.

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The JVC forecast 135-150 seats for the NDA and 88-103 for the Mahagathbandhan. The Polstrat predicted 133-148 seats for the NDA and 87-102 for the Mahagathbandhan.

While the Chanakya Strategies gave the NDA 130-138 eats, 100-108 to the Mahagathbandhan, and zero to Jan Suraaj, pollster P-Marq predicted the NDA to win 142-162 seats, Mahagathbandhan 80-98 and Jan Suraaj 1-4.

The majority mark in the 243-member Assembly is 122.

Exit poll projections are made by election survey agencies based on interviews of voters as they come out after casting their votes. These may vary widely from the actual results.

While the NDA, comprising the BJP, JD(U) and LJP (Ram Vilas) as the major alliance partners, is looking to return to power in Bihar, the opposition INDIA bloc, which has the RJD, the Congress and the Left parties as the main constituents, is looking to form the government with the RJD's Tejashwi Yadav as its chief ministerial face.

Bihar on Tuesday recorded its highest-ever voter turnout of 67.14 per cent, provisionally, at close of polling in the second and final phase of the high-stakes elections, seen as a veritable referendum on the state's longest-serving Chief Minister Nitish Kumar.

People's Insight

NDA 133-148

Mahagathbandhan 75-101

Jan Suraaj Party 0-2

Others 2-8

Matrize

NDA 147-167

Mahagathbandhan 70-90

Jan Suraaj Party 0-2

Others 2-8

Dainik Bhaskar

NDA 145-160

Mahagathbandhan 73-91

Jan Suraaj Party 0-0

Others 5-10

People’s Pulse

NDA 133-159

Mahagathbandhan 75-101

Jan Suraaj Party 0-5

Others 2-8

JVC

NDA 135-150

Mahagathbandhan 88-103

Jan Suraaj Party 0-1

Others 3-6

P-Marg

NDA 142-162

Mahagathbandhan 88-103

Jan Suraaj Party 1-4

Others 0-3

Chanakya Strategies

NDA 130-138

Mahagathbandhan 100-108

Jan Suraaj Party 0-0

Others 3-5

According to Chanakya Strategies

November 11, 2025 7:04 pm

Chanakya Strategies NDA 130-138 Mahagathbandhan 100-108 Jan Suraaj Party 0-0 Others 3-5

According to P-Marg

November 11, 2025 7:04 pm

P-Marg NDA 142-162 Mahagathbandhan 88-103 Jan Suraaj Party 1-4 Others 0-3

According to JVC

November 11, 2025 7:00 pm

According to JVC NDA 135-150 Mahagathbandhan 88-103 Jan Suraaj Party 0-1 Others 3-6

According to People’s Pulse

November 11, 2025 6:44 pm

According to People’s Pulse NDA 133-159 Mahagathbandhan 75-101 Jan Suraaj Party 0-5 Others 2-8

According to Dainik Bhaskar

November 11, 2025 6:44 pm

According to Dainik Bhaskar NDA 145-160 Mahagathbandhan 73-91 Jan Suraaj Party 0-0 Others 5-10

According to Matrize

November 11, 2025 6:40 pm

According to Matrize NDA 147-167 Mahagathbandhan 70-90 Jan Suraaj Party 0-2 Others 2-8

According to People's Insight

November 11, 2025 6:38 pm

According to People's Insight NDA 133-148 Mahagathbandhan 75-101 Jan Suraaj Party 0-2 Others 2-8

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