COP30 carbon plans may fall short of Paris agreement: Moody's Report

New Delhi [India], June 17 (ANI): The implementation of the new carbon emissions reduction goals submitted by governments in advance of the November 2025 UN Climate Change Conference (COP30) is likely to fall short of the Paris Agreement's targets, potentially impacting a wide array of industries, according to recent report by Moody's rating.

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The report revealed that, amid persistent delays in meeting existing goals, many nations are now prioritising investments in adaptation and resilience.

The updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) submitted so far call for more aggressive emissions cuts, though the specifics vary based on conditionality, sector coverage, and measurement. Upcoming submissions from major economies such as China, the EU, and India are expected to feature even bolder ambitions and a broader range of decarbonization strategies, despite recent global policy shifts posing new implementation challenges.

Additionally, the report also notes that governments are increasingly looking beyond electrification to agriculture, energy efficiency, and waste management as key areas for emissions reduction. This expanded focus highlights the difficulties of relying solely on electrification and could have significant credit implications for associated sectors.

Notably, there's a heightened emphasis on reducing emissions from agriculture, forestry, and other land uses in many submissions. The waste sector and property energy efficiency are also identified as crucial for decarbonization.

For emerging markets (EMs), achieving emission targets is heavily contingent on external financial support. A continued lack of funding jeopardises the scaling of climate-resilient infrastructure and technology, as well as efforts to transition communities away from carbon-intensive livelihoods.

"Nations that are highly exposed to physical climate risks and lack sufficient investment in adaptation and resilience are at heightened risk of economic disruption and eroding credit strength," Moody's Rating said.

"This increases the likelihood of falling into what some NDCs refer to as a climate investment trap, where recurring disasters deepen debt and further constrain adaptation capacity," it added. (ANI)

(The story has come from a syndicated feed and has not been edited by the Tribune Staff.)