Vinod Khosla at SPF's 'Meet the OGs': AI to Replace India's IT and BPO Services in 5 Years; Calls on India to Lead Global Transformation

New Delhi, Delhi, India – Business Wire India

At Startup Policy Forum’s “Meet the OGs” series in the Bay Area, venture capitalist Vinod Khosla shared a bold five-year outlook for India’s IT and BPO sectors. Speaking exclusively to a delegation of Indian startup founders, he predicted that artificial intelligence (AI) will transform global services, replacing traditional IT and BPO roles, but also creating an unprecedented opportunity for India to lead the next wave of AI-driven innovation.

“All of BPO will be replaced. All IT services will be replaced in the next five years,” Khosla said. “Every company in the world could operate with half the number of people—but they don’t know how to do it. Productivity would improve from 5% to 500% which could mean 80% of people get replaced for the same job. It’s going to be pretty chaotic.”

Khosla emphasized that India is uniquely positioned to turn disruption into opportunity, with its deep pool of technical talent and readiness to scale. He suggested that the country could become the global hub for AI transformation services, reimagining IT exports for the AI era.

Beyond global services, Khosla urged India to deploy AI domestically to revolutionize healthcare and education. He described these essential services as “infinitely scalable” through AI and affordable enough to be integrated into Aadhaar, ensuring nationwide access. “In fact, it’s cheap enough; they should be part of Aadhaar. You can offer free education at every level, starting with kids in school to professional degrees,” Khosla said.

According to Khosla, AI-enabled delivery has the potential to transform India’s social infrastructure, unlocking vast human capital and creating scalable solutions for the nation. He further noted that ongoing shifts in global supply chains provide strong tailwinds for India. “All the key indicators show India is well-positioned globally,” he said, emphasizing that the country’s entrepreneurial culture and readiness to scale give it a distinct competitive advantage in an AI-driven world.

About Meet the OGs

Meet the OGs is an exclusive conversation series by Startup Policy Forum that brings Indian startup founders, investors, and policymakers into dialogue with iconic global leaders who have shaped the technology industry. Vinod Khosla’s remarks came during an interaction with an Indian founders’ delegation at his Bay Area office, part of a continuing series designed to help Indian founders understand the opportunities and risks in the next wave of global innovation.

About Startup Policy Forum

Startup Policy Forum (SPF) is an industry body for new-age companies representing 50+ of India’s largest and fastest-growing startups with a combined valuation of over $80 billion. Leading startups across diverse sectors, including fintech, consumer, manufacturing, deeptech, and AI, are members of SPF. This includes Razorpay, Swiggy, Ather Energy, Groww, Zerodha, CRED, OYO, Pine Labs, Physics Wallah, ixigo, Cars24, BharatPe, Cardekho, Acko, Invideo, Digantara, among others.

Founded and led by public policy and media professional Shweta Rajpal Kohli, SPF serves as a voice for new-age nation builders and engages in policy advocacy and community-building initiatives. It strives to position Indian startups on a global stage and promote India as an attractive investment destination by bridging the gap between founders, investors, and policymakers.

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Vinod Khosla in conversation with Shweta Rajpal Kohli

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