Schools will need a detailed road map to resume classes

New Delhi, January 25

Schools in India have now been mostly closed for almost 2 years (especially primary and middle schools). While many efforts have been made towards online education, its penetration and effectiveness remain woefully inadequate. In a country with 40-70% of children not having access to a device, schools resorting to online learning has meant a massive number of kids being left out.

Initial data seems to suggest that 90% children lost at least one specific language ability. In fact, research by World Bank suggests that every year of schooling lost will potentially translate to 9% lower future earnings for a student – compounding to devastating impact on future GDP.

While everyone was hoping for all schools to open in January 2022, the Omicron surge led to a fresh wave of prolonged closures across the country – dashing the hopes of educators, parents and children alike.

In this context, Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and Teach for India compared how other countries and some Indian states have dealt with continuing education through Covid. The report titled “India Needs To Learn — A Case for Keeping Schools Open” captures key findings from this study and the imperatives for India to build back better.

 The recommendations have been developed in consultation with and have been endorsed by more than 35 organisations in the education space and are also supported by multiple public health leaders, including Dr. Gagandeep Kang (Professor, CMC Vellore), Prof. K. Srinath Reddy (President, PHFI) and Dr. Nachiket Mor (Visiting Scientist, The Banyan Academy of Leadership in Mental Health).

 A global comparison of school status since Covid hit, reveals that while schools were mostly shut in 2020 (first half), many countries kept schools largely open through subsequent waves. For instance in 2021, many countries had schools operational in-person for large parts of the year (including Japan, South Africa, US, UK, Portugal). This is despite 2-8x higher disease incidence or cases per million population compared to India.

In fact, many nations prioritized keeping schools open vis-a-vis malls, shops, gyms (e.g., France, UK, Canada, Singapore). Many-a-time this was made possible by decentralizing the school opening/closing decision to a school/county level to avoid mass school closures.

 Seema Bansal (Partner & Director, BCG) says, “Like so many other sectors, the pandemic has also affected education severely over last two years. Globally the extent of loss around learning has been staggering, and in India the digital divide amongst urban and rural students has been extensive. The need of the hour is to pivot to a mindset where schools are the “last to close and first to open” in any future waves of the pandemic or other exigencies (for e.g., pollution in North India) – as also successfully demonstrated by many other countries.”

 The report also explores public health arguments which indicate low school re-opening risk, driven by multiple factors. First, transmission and severity of Covid in children is low. It was observed that children had 3-6x lower incidence and 17x lower fatality compared to adults. Second, despite school re-opening across select Indian states in mid-2021, cases didn’t spike (e.g., Punjab, Maharashtra etc.) hinting at low transmission in schools. Third, increasing vaccination penetration also strengthens the case for re-opening schools, as it will likely lead to lower hospitalization and fatality (more so with Omicron compared to earlier variants, basis early data from other countries).

 One key issue with India’s centralised decision making has been that schools in districts with very limited spread, were shut due to mass closures (at state level). For instance, in late December 2021, 70% districts in India had