Transmission rate dips slightly in Haryana

10% weekly surge against over 50% in April

Transmission rate dips slightly in Haryana

With Haryana recording 1,01,009 new cases of coronavirus infection in a week that ended Sunday, the transmission rate of the virus has shown some dip — from 1.4, it has come down to 1.36 in seven days.

Sushil Manav

Tribune News Service

Chandigarh, May 10

With Haryana recording 1,01,009 new cases of coronavirus infection in a week that ended Sunday, the transmission rate of the virus has shown some dip — from 1.4, it has come down to 1.36 in seven days.

The weekly number of cases is only 10 per cent higher than 90,569 new infections witnessed during the week from April 26 to May 2.

This is sharp in contrast from 50 per cent or more weekly surge seen during the month of April.

Rajeev Arora, Additional Chief Secretary, Health and Family Welfare

Too early to comment

Though the transmission rate seems to have settled down, it would be too early to assume that the peak of the current wave is near. The trend is definitely towards stability, but I will like to wait for another week before I can comment whether the infection is plateauing or not.

Transmission rate, also called or reproduction rate or scientifically known as R Naught value, is the rate at which A Covid-19 patient person was infecting other healthy persons.

R Naught value of 1.36 means that a group of 1000 Covid-19 patients was infecting 1,360 healthy people.

The transmission rate stood at 1 from January 31 till February 21 when it started surging, initially very slowly and then steeply during the month of April till it scaled an all-time high of 1.4 on May 2.

Correspondingly, the weekly number of new cases which was 10,414 during the week (March 29 to April 4) surged to 18,748 during the next week (from April 5 to 11) and to 40,090 during week from April 12 to 18.

The numbers surged further to 67,348 during week from April 19 to 25, and to 90569 next week (April 26 to May 2).

Meanwhile the daily positivity rate in the state has also showed a little dip as it came down to 26.58 per cent on Sunday after once touching 27.68 per cent a day earlier.

The cumulative positivity rate as on Sunday was 7.86, much above the critical positivity rate of 6 per cent.

As against last week, when 11 out of 22 districts had a positivity rate above 6, now 15 districts have come under this category, known as red category.

Faridabad has the highest cumulative positivity rate of 12.58 per cent, followed by Gurugram 11.67, Panipat 9.67, Sonepat 8.71, Hisar 8.49, Panchkula 8.46, Karnal 8.20 and Ambala 7.39 per cent.

Fatehabad has cumulative positivity rate of 7.37 per cent, followed by Mahendragarh has 7.15, Jind 7.03. Rewari 6.96, Yamunanagar 6.33, Sirsa 6.14 and Kurukshetra has a cumulative positivity rate of 6.02.

While only Charkhi Dadri and Nuh have the desirable positivity rate of less than 2 (1.83 per cent and 1.53 per cent, respectively), Bhiwani, Kaithal, Rohtak, Palwal and Jhajjar have positivity rate above the desirable limits and below the critical threshold.

The active cases, meanwhile, stand at 1,16,867 in the state.

Rajeev Arora, Additional Chief Secretary, Health and Family Welfare, Haryana said that though the transmission rate seems to have settled down, it would be too early to assume that the peak of the current wave is near.

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